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Yin Yan Researcher, Institute of West Asia and Africa, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences

I'm Yin Yan, a researcher at the West Asia and Africa Institute of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences. How likely is it that the United States and Iraq will go to war? [View topic]

2 days ago

Does this incident have anything to do with Saudi Arabia and Israel? China, Russia, and Iran just held a joint military exercise not long ago. Was Trump provocative at this point of time? Is he also demonstrating to China and Russia?

There are 6 answers

Yin Yan 1 day ago

Your question is good. Answer to the first question: It has nothing to do with Saudi Israel. The second question, you are asking why Trump was provocative during the three-nation military exercise. He was wrong. I remind all netizens: On December 27th, the Iraq-Russia-China military exercise began. It was on this day that Shi’ite militants under Suleymani fired 30 U.S. bases in the Kirkuk region of northern Iraq The rocket, which caused US casualties and caused retaliation by the US military, bombed five bases and command posts of the Hezbollah brigade in the Syrian-Iraq border area on December 29. On the same day, the military exercises of the Three Kingdoms ended. Don't you think that Iran's plan to pull Russia and China into the water is too much? Suleimani's death was at his own fault.

Catch up and laugh a 23 hours ago

Taking the death of a U.S. military contractor as an example, on December 29, the U.S. military retaliated against the PUM armed forces near the Abu Kemal crossing, with more than 60 casualties, and was condemned by the Iraqi government and burned down by the PUM ’s Pearl Party revenge. Can you say Is this Suleymani's fault? !! In addition, the reason is that the Americans became frustrated because they did not pass the Syrian humanitarian crossing point draft on the 20th. For the Americans, the Abu Kemele crossing point is too important. Currently, the Iraqi PUM armed forces (previously supported by Iran, Now basically Iraqi government forces) ~~ I understand that it cannot be said that the deceased is to blame, but Americans ’naked tactical aggression

Yin Yan

Your question is good. Answer to the first question: It has nothing to do with Saudi Israel. The second question, you are asking why Trump was provocative during the three-nation military exercise. He was wrong. I remind all netizens: On December 27th, the Iraq-Russia-China military exercise began. It was on this day that Shi’ite militants under Suleymani fired 30 U.S. bases in the Kirkuk region of northern Iraq. The rocket, which caused US casualties and caused retaliation by the US military, bombed five bases and command posts of the Hezbollah brigade in the Syrian-Iraq border area on December 29. On the same day, the military exercises of the Three Kingdoms ended. Don't you think that Iran's plan to pull Russia and China into the water is too much? Suleimani's death was at his own fault.

1 day ago

Thank you Teacher Yin for your reply. After reading a lot of articles online, Teacher Yin's analysis is straightforward. Why is Iran trying to pull China and Russia into the water? Both China and Russia have clearly stood in Iran. What higher expectations does Iran have for us? Do we want us to be directly involved in the conflict with the United States? It is said that there are also contradictions between Shiites in Iran and Iraq. Will there be a deeper plot for Suleimani's death?

Yin Yan

Your question is good. Answer to the first question: It has nothing to do with Saudi Israel. The second question, you are asking why Trump was provocative during the three-nation military exercise. He was wrong. I remind all netizens: On December 27th, the Iraq-Russia-China military exercise began. It was on this day that Shi’ite militants under Suleymani fired 30 U.S. bases in the Kirkuk region of northern Iraq The rocket, which caused US casualties and caused retaliation by the US military, bombed five bases and command posts of the Hezbollah brigade in the Syrian-Iraq border area on December 29. On the same day, the military exercises of the Three Kingdoms ended. Don't you think that Iran's plan to pull Russia and China into the water is too much? Suleimani's death was at his own fault.

Eagle Strike 1 day ago

Yin thinks Suleimani's death was the fault? Consistent with the tone of the Americans, do you hope that the Middle Easterners should welcome the presence of Americans and should not provoke the United States?

Yin Yan

Your question is good. Answer to the first question: It has nothing to do with Saudi Israel. The second question, you are asking why Trump was provocative during the three-nation military exercise. He was wrong. I remind all netizens: On December 27th, the Iraq-Russia-China military exercise began. It was on this day that Shi’ite militants under Suleymani fired 30 U.S. bases in the Kirkuk region of northern Iraq The rocket, which caused US casualties and caused retaliation by the US military, bombed five bases and command posts of the Hezbollah brigade in the Syrian-Iraq border area on December 29. On the same day, the military exercises of the Three Kingdoms ended. Don't you think that Iran's plan to pull Russia and China into the water is too much? Suleimani's death was at his own fault.

Othello 1 day ago

Both China and Russia have tried to avoid becoming involved in the conflict.
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112

Iran ’s behavior is shown to the Iranian people. The Iranian economy is already very difficult and it is unlikely that the conflict will escalate. The Americans cleared Suleimani. The Iranian government cannot do nothing. It cannot explain to its own people, but it cannot really fight the United States or win. So what? I can only inform Iraq first where I want to fight because Iraq will inevitably tell the United States.
The United States has certainly not lost.
Iran says more than 80 Americans have been killed. Who believes? This is the unwritten rule of the Middle East: whenever conflicts arise, you must not trust the data of the local government. In this regard, you can refer to the official statement of the Syrian government after the Syrian nuclear reactor was bombed by Israel. You can also refer to Ahmadinejad's statement after Israel destroyed a large number of Iran's centrifuges through the "Zhennet virus".
But having said that, this just shows that Iran's missiles are very accurate. In the event of a dozen missed injuries to an American, it is really troublesome.
During this time, Israel was indeed very nervous, afraid that Iran would lose its mind and attack Israel. Now Israel is not afraid of anyone, but it is a little afraid of Iran. There is no way. There are too many missiles. Although Israel has a multilayer missile defense system, once a barrage is formed, it can't be intercepted. That's why after Suleimani was attacked, Israel immediately jumped out and said, don't get me wrong, I didn't do it.
Politics in the Middle East may seem complicated, but if we look at these countries as a group of hairy children with flesh and blood, they are not so difficult to understand.
Governing a big country is like cooking small fresh, especially a small country.

67

This is actually a cultural issue.
Tell you two small stories. When I was studying in Israel, I heard that two Russian Jews and several Palestinians clashed and had a fight. After the fight, the police came and said to the Jews, you two will transfer to school. The Arabs will retaliate. We did not Manpower looks at your two students every day.
In the second story, the United States often appeared on the battlefield in Afghanistan. The U.S. military convoys were attacked, and they exchanged fire with the Taliban. As a result, after the exchange of fire, the locals were interrogated after being captured by the U.S. forces. They said that they It ’s not the Taliban, it ’s just an ordinary villager. The U.S. army is in a loop. Ask them why they took up their weapons and risked their lives to hit the United States. They said that because you killed the women and children in our village last time, you owe me Without blood debt, we must take revenge.
This is actually part of the Bedouin culture for thousands of years. For the Arabs, the "blood debt" must be repaid. Dignity is more important than life. There is no room for negotiation. So the Palestinian-Israeli problem became a dead knot.
If I become a Palestinian leader, I will let all people learn the allusions of Her Majesty ’s insults, recognize Israel ’s right to exist, quickly reach peace with Israel, and draw clear borders. As long as Israel dismantles its settlements, my refugees do not need to return to Israel I do n’t want Jerusalem anymore. The United States will pay for it. The Temple Mount will be built as the third temple of the Jews. I will relocate the Alaza Mosque and the Golden Roof Mosque to Ramallah. I will focus on the development of tourism and handicrafts. A classic Christian pilgrimage route, Gaza tunnels have also been made into attractions. The whole world can come here to play live chickens, and Gaza will be directly made into a free trade port. Dead seasides will build high-end villa groups, and foreigners can also buy them. I also issued The "Return Law", all Israeli Arabs who are willing to emigrate to Palestine, are all arranged as civil servants; export cheap labor to Israel, build infrastructure, improve the quality of education at home, cooperate with Israel to run schools, join various organizations internationally, and establish the right to speak At the same time, go to China and establish sister-city relations with major cities. .
Then I was assassinated by my own people in minutes ...
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